0x82617a1ECE125aC2c6b4EF355BddACCaC972a3F1-1737481665035
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0x82617a1ECE125aC2c6b4EF355BddACCaC972a3F1-1737481665035 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$1.7K PnL, $222.4K total volume, a 50.7% win rate, and activity across 80 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
HOOK
0x82617a1ECE125aC2c6b4EF355BddACCaC972a3F1 is a Polymarket trader sitting at rank 2,416,317 with a brutal -$1.7K PnL across 87 trades — the walking textbook of how a 50.7% win rate and disciplined position sizing can still leave you red, and why most retail never see it coming.
IDENTITY
Anonymous diversified trader, 83 closed positions, 0.4 trades per day across 79 different markets. Low risk profile on paper. Rank deep in the basement.
STRATEGY
This wallet spreads bets thin — averaging $175 per trade across sports, memes, and crypto price calls. Buy-heavy (1.19 buy-to-sell ratio) with a patient 50.7% win rate. Looks like noise hedging. Looks disciplined. Looks broken anyway.
PROOF
The math is transparent and brutal. 87 trades on $222.4K total volume, average entry at 0.788 — entry's solid. Win rate sits above 50%, which should print money in a fair market. But the max single loss hits -$1,179 (Timberwolves vs Suns, 2025-01-30) while the best trade clears only +$440 (Elon Musk tweet count, March 28-30, 2026). Risk-to-reward is inverted. One bad bet nukes three good ones. And that's before accounting for the -0.78% ROI on what looks like a starter account that never recovered.
EDGE
This trader has none. Or rather, the edge is in what they do right — discipline, low bet sizing, wide diversification across 80 markets, under 0.4 trades daily. These are textbook rules. They follow them perfectly. And they still bleed out because Polymarket prediction markets don't reward caution the same way futures do. Edge requires either niche mastery (sports data, model confidence) or infrastructure (bots, real-time alerts, execution speed). This wallet has deployed zero of the above. Just a retail account with good habits and no edge.
NOW
All positions closed. No active exposure. The account sits dormant or dead. Recent activity suggests this trader either quit after hitting the drawdown or is slowly grinding back — but at 0.4 trades per day on $175 average, the math says they'd need 50+ straight wins just to break even. Not everyone survives the grind.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru or pull their full Polymarket wallet analytics to see exactly which markets bleed accounts dry fastest.
diversifiedRisk: medium