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lynchdavion is a Polymarket wallet profile with $60 PnL, $17.3K total volume, a 17.5% win rate, and activity across 49 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
lynchdavion [0x818b29695b35026383780067ce1bda91f9a50ac3] Polymarket trader turned $9,091 into $64.54 PnL across 38 trades — which sounds underwhelming until you realize his best single trade hit $118.56 on Sabres vs. Canadiens (2024-12-18), then immediately lost $101 on the next swing, the mark of someone hunting volatility in sports prediction markets instead of building edge.
Ranked #252,741 on the Polymarket leaderboard, lynchdavion operates as a diversified trader across 44 markets with a brutal 21.875% win rate. That's not a typo — he's losing 78% of his bets. The medium risk profile and 0.71% ROI suggest someone throwing modest $62.59 average trades at everything from hockey matchups to crypto price action, betting 0.1 times per day like a casual with strong conviction convictions that rarely materialize.
The raw edge here is chaos — a 1.68 buy-sell ratio means he's chasing more often than exiting early, typical of a Polymarket wallet checker discovering the difference between knowing an outcome and timing the market correctly. His 32 closed positions show he actually does close, but the math kills the narrative: 0.71% return on $9,091 total volume is noise, genuine drawdown recovery territory.
The Sabres vs. Canadiens (2024-12-18) win then immediate $101 loss proves the pattern — got lucky once, then the markets punished the overconfidence. Six open positions now, which could flip this whole story or crater it. This Polymarket trader's PnL stays positive only because that one hockey trade landed massive. Lose that and the wallet sits at minus money.
The true risk: lynchdavion's medium risk level combined with 21% win rate looks like a house edge scenario. Polymarket whale watchers and prediction market analytics communities track this type for a reason — the bleed is slow, the delusion is real, and most retail traders just like him disappear quietly. Not everyone survives a real drawdown.
Check this wallet on Predicts.guru to watch whether the next 10 trades continue the spiral or somehow find actual edge.
diversifiedRisk: medium