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Parisut is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$160 PnL, $12.3K total volume, a 13.3% win rate, and activity across 45 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Parisut (0x8127d5f0919e5173156165bbb73e0a6b05a2a699) Polymarket trader tried to build a diversified prediction market portfolio and instead collected a -$159.90 loss across 42 trades—textbook case of spread-thin energy killing edge.
This Polymarket wallet checker shows a raw beginner's mistake: 45 different markets touched, 13% win rate, but almost neutral buy/sell ratio at 1.68x. Rank 2364862 speaks volumes. The portfolio sits at $796, down 1.3% ROI. Only 0.1 trades per day means this isn't someone grinding—it's a dabbler swinging at every pitch.
Here's where it gets interesting though. On Senators vs. Red Wings (2025-01-08), Parisut landed a $106.58 win, proving they can read a market. Three days later, Thunder vs. Cavaliers (2025-01-09) flipped it completely—a $107 loss that nearly wiped the gain. This is the real edge killer: zero position sizing discipline. Max single win equals max single loss, which screams "no risk management framework."
The actual edge here is nonexistent. Medium risk level rated against a 13% Polymarket win rate means this trader takes calculated bets but picks losers more than winners. Average entry at 0.60 across 45 markets suggests they're buying dips everywhere instead of specializing. Top Polymarket traders know one thing deeply; Parisut knows 45 things shallowly. Open 12 positions right now means they're still spreading capital thin across noise.
What separates this from breakout prediction market analytics material: the buy/sell ratio shows conviction exists (1.68x more buys), but conviction without edge is just expensive. The closed positions count (30) against open (12) tells you they're at least closing losers instead of bag-holding—minor discipline point. But losing on average $3.80 per trade across medium risk doesn't scale.
Current portfolio at $796 with 12 open positions means roughly $66 per market. Not everyone survives a 20% draw on that stack. The check Polymarket wallet pattern here is pure diversified retail: chasing headlines, rotating through categories, hoping one sticks.
You can track this wallet's next moves on Predicts.guru to see if Parisut ever focuses or keeps the spray-and-pray grind going.
diversifiedRisk: medium