Poolymath
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Poolymath is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$2.8K PnL, $208.3K total volume, a 64.9% win rate, and activity across 379 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Poolymath (0x7e34b14e6413decce962ddb81ea06f49463f7) Polymarket trader: deposited $5.2K, turned it into a masterclass in how 64.9% win rate still doesn't save you from -$2.8K total PnL and -49.92% ROI. The specialist who learned the hardest lesson in prediction markets — discipline beats accuracy.
Poolymath is a conservative Polymarket trader ranked outside the top percentile but running a textbook low-risk playbook across 379 markets in 405 trades over ~9 months. The profile screams "I know what I'm doing" — 1.3 trades per day, $93 average ticket size, 64.9% win rate. But the wallet tells a different story: down nearly 3K despite winning more than losing.
The edge hack is brutal honesty. This isn't a whale chasing size or a degen crushing volatility. Poolymath specializes in high-probability noise — markets where the consensus is slightly off and you farm 2-5% per trade. The best trade? Nailed Euro Finals: Spain vs. England for $366.58. Solid execution. But then came the worst: -$2,019 on "2024 July hottest on record?" — one catastrophic tail risk event that ate half the year's wins. The 2.5x buy-to-sell ratio shows conviction, not panic, which ironically made the blowup worse.
Here's what separates Poolymath from 99% degens: they didn't blow up. They didn't rage-deposit. They closed 405 positions with discipline and kept 8 open. A 64.9% win rate Polymarket trader at this size should be printing money. Instead, the Polymarket wallet analytics show they got ratio'd by tail risk and position sizing — the one thing pure accuracy can't fix. Conservative label is accurate but cost them. ROI on Polymarket deposits at -49.92% is brutal, yet they didn't compound into oblivion. That's the actual edge: survival.
Current position: $1.8K portfolio value with 8 open trades across prediction market analytics categories. They've withdrawn $1.5K of the $5.2K deployed, so they're living off the remaining float. Not everyone survives a 50% drawdown without rage-quitting or doubling down.
Check this wallet on Predicts.guru to see how high win rate and low volatility can still wreck your P&L — maybe the most honest Polymarket leaderboard lesson there is.
conservativeRisk: low