Kerigan
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Kerigan is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$14.5K PnL, $101.5K total volume, a 50.0% win rate, and activity across 8 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
Opened the wallet expecting a whale, saw a 6-trade experiment that turned $37,947 into a -$14,472 hole — Kerigan (0x7a4d01b777813a2555078972096ba5b8fe46546a) Polymarket trader is proof that even "low risk" can bleed you dry.
Identity: Rank #3,071,533. Diversified trader. 8 markets, 6 trades, 50% win rate. Not a whale — a cautionary tale with $101K in volume behind him.
Strategy: Dips a toe into esports noise. He bought high (avg entry $0.77), sold low, and churned volume like a confused tourist. One killer trade — $2,139 on Natus Vincere vs G2 at IEM Cologne — got wiped by death-by-a-thousand-cuts elsewhere. Best and worst trade on the same damn match. That's the whole story.
Proof: -$14.5K on $101.5K volume. His buy/sell ratio is 2.17 — he's buying twice as often as he sells, which is a classic trap when you're averaging into losing positions. Max single loss? Just -$183. Sounds safe until you realize the portfolio is down 60% on deposits. This isn't a strategy. It's a slow leak with a lucky spike that fooled him into thinking he had an edge.
Edge: None. This is what happens when retail mistakes "low risk" for "low effort." He didn't farm noise, he just bought mid-range odds on esports and prayed. The real edge here is the lesson — you can lose 60% with a 50% win rate if your winners are small and your timing is trash.
Now: Portfolio value {portfolioValue}, two positions open, net transfers at $26,926. He's not dead yet, but the math says he should've stopped at trade #2. Not everyone survives the drawdown — and he's not out of it.
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diversifiedRisk: low