0x78Bbf40c958761b51BBD3Cd93EDE714f06a1591F-1770119563310
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0x78Bbf40c958761b51BBD3Cd93EDE714f06a1591F-1770119563310 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$45.9K PnL, $1.0M total volume, a 92.5% win rate, and activity across 328 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
WHALE WITH A 92.5% WIN RATE SITTING ON -$45K — how this Polymarket trader turned discipline into a slow bleed.
0x78Bbf40c958761b51BBD3Cd93EDE714f06a1591F is ranked #2,714,642 on Polymarket leaderboards, a medium-risk whale executing 4.4 trades daily across 328 markets. The stats look like a cheat code: 92.5% win rate across 324 total trades, $4,180 single best win on Lakers vs. Nuggets (2026-03-06), portfolio sitting at $57K. But here's the gut punch — this Polymarket whale is down $45,862.69 with a 1.6% ROI on deposits. This is the profile of someone who wins constantly and loses anyway.
The edge: volume mastery meets noise collection. This 0x78Bbf40c958761b51BBD3Cd93EDE714f06a1591F trader doesn't chase narratives — he scalps volatility across low-cap prediction markets where retail panic sells at 0.40 and buys at 0.60 on the same outcome. Average entry price of 0.5068 tells the story: he's picking spot entries in deep liquid chaos. Buy/sell ratio of 44.66 shows he's taking both sides, farming the spreads and sentiment whipsaw. 190 open positions across 328 markets means he's a diversification bot, not a conviction player. Win rate this high only happens when you're not risking size on actual opinions — you're grinding micro-edges across dozens of tiny bets.
The bleed: positive winrate, negative returns. Worst single loss hit -$2,560.87 on Warriors vs. Knicks (2026-03-16), suggesting even disciplined traders get caught in the tail. $90,438 in total deposits, $34,560 withdrawn — this Polymarket whale is underwater on net transfers of $55,877. The math is brutal: 92.53% of 324 trades wins, but slippage, gas fees, and liquidity crunches on the exit turn alpha into drag. Every small win gets nickeled and dimed by friction. This is what happens when you optimize for win rate instead of risk-adjusted returns.
Current state: 190 open positions, $57K portfolio, still grinding. The discipline is real, but so is the math — you can win 92% and still lose money on Polymarket if you're not ruthless about position sizing and exit timing. Check this wallet on Predicts.guru to see how noise collection strategies actually perform against Polymarket leaderboard expectations.
whaleRisk: medium