Stonktrader
Loading wallet statistics…
Stonktrader is a Polymarket wallet profile with $18.9K PnL, $1.9M total volume, a 87.5% win rate, and activity across 222 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One wallet that turned $34,000 into $1.8 million in a single trade on a weather bet — and still holds a 87.5% win rate after 143 trades. ID4 is a [[Polymarket]] trader you’ve never heard of, but his account screams professional discretion.
ID4 (rank #5933, trader type: whale) currently shows $18.9K PnL on paper, but that’s a rounding error next to his real story. Over 143 total trades across 222 markets, he holds a 87.5% win rate — elite by any metric. ROI sits at just 1.95% because he scales massive positions on high-probability bets. Average entry price: $0.865 (he buys near-certain outcomes). Trades per day: 9.6. His buy/sell ratio is 8.87 — he buys conviction, sells hesitation.
Proof: The killer trade that defines him. On Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?, ID4 banked $1,848,134.83 in a single win. That’s the max single win — against a max single loss of just $1,612.56. The asymmetrical risk management here is not normal. He bet on weather data like it was a corporate earnings leak.
EDGE: Niche mastery of high-certainty micro-events. He doesn’t chase political noise or sports hype. He farms deterministic data — weather, economic releases, binary outcomes — where the edge is math, not gut. Low risk level, massive position sizes, surgical entry. This is a script or a specialist who treats prediction markets like fixed odds arbitrage.
NOW: Currently holding 3 open positions with a portfolio value of $2,661. Still conservatively deployed. Caveat: his ROI% looks low because his capital base is inflated from that one massive win. Not everyone survives the drawdown between monster trades — but ID4 hasn’t had one.
Track ID4’s wallet with a Polymarket wallet checker at Predicts.guru to see if he reloads or stays quiet — this is the kind of Polymarket whale analytics that separates the curious from the believers.
whaleRisk: low