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Mr.Edge is a Polymarket wallet profile with $18 PnL, $4.9K total volume, a 24.4% win rate, and activity across 187 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Mr.Edge Polymarket trader burned $119 trying to nail weather markets in 100 trades across 3 weeks—but here's the shock: he found an edge nobody talks about, then couldn't stick the landing.
Mr.Edge ranks outside top 2 million Polymarket traders but his wallet screams one thing: conviction in a niche everyone ignores. Diversified across 100 markets in 21 days, 7.3 trades per day, averaging $1.72 per bet. Win rate sits at 21.8%—which sounds like a dead account until you map his actual strategy: he's farming micro-weather prediction markets where the crowd can't think fast enough to price in real data.
The edge hack is stupidly simple: temperature forecasts on specific cities matter to exactly zero Polymarket degenerates. Mr.Edge spotted Warsaw and Beijing weather contracts trading at terrible odds. His best trade pulled $6.44 on a single Warsaw temperature call—outsize win on a $1-3 entry. He chased that pattern hard. But here's where it breaks: his worst trade lost $4.92 on the same thesis (Beijing), and the variance crushed him. Entered at 0.45 average, meaning he's betting on 55-45 edge cases and hoping volume fills before reality does.
The numbers are brutal. Started with $159.93 in deposits, burned $119.48 net, sitting at $56.94 portfolio value. ROI screams -64.4%, but that's misleading—he's not blowing up, he's learning. 55 closed positions with max single loss under $5 means he's not revenge-trading or over-sizing. He still holds 45 open positions, mostly micro-stakes waiting for liquidity or events to resolve.
What separates Mr.Edge from 99% Polymarket chaos: he found a real gap (weather markets are pricing-inefficient), built conviction, then hit the wall every trader hits—bet-sizing discipline. His 60/40 buy-sell ratio suggests he's not panic-exiting, but the consistency isn't there yet. One week he's up $6, next week down $5. Not everyone survives the drawdown phase, but he's still grinding.
Currently 45 open positions rippling across niche markets. The risk: liquidity dries up on obscure weather contracts faster than he can exit. The reward: if he tightens entry discipline and stays patient, he's one month away from breaking even on a strategy that has real meat.
Track Mr.Edge's next 50 trades on a Polymarket wallet checker to see if he cracks this or folds—this is a live case study in finding an edge versus executing it.
diversifiedRisk: medium