0x7246de109c7D5736F372c2F318B6DB935f39CB21-1773378634876
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0x7246de109c7D5736F372c2F318B6DB935f39CB21-1773378634876 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$5 PnL, $3.1K total volume, a 80.0% win rate, and activity across 705 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
80% win rate Polymarket trader blew $4.68K despite crushing 4 out of 5 bets — the speed trap that killed him.
Meet 0x7246de109c7d5736f372c2f318b6db935f39cb21, a Polymarket trader ranked 1,431,658 who landed on the wrong side of prediction market math: winning constantly but losing everything anyway. Conservative trader type, low risk designation, yet somehow -59.47% ROI on $74.57K deposited. This is what happens when you're fast but not careful.
The setup looks clean on paper. Fifty total trades, 80% win rate — that's 40 winners versus 10 losses. But here's the edge-killer: average entry price sits at 0.83, meaning he's buying noise on the back of moves, not prediction. Thirty-five trades per day across 705 different markets tells you everything. This isn't conviction. This is bot-speed reaction to Bitcoin volatility ticks, catching pennies in front of steamrollers. Best single win: $0.60 on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET. Worst single loss: -$1.11 on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET. One big loss wipes three small wins. Do that enough times across 50 trades and your 80% becomes a -$4.68K hemorrhage.
The Polymarket whale watcher's lesson here: win rate lies. Average trade size of $1.53 means he's grinding micro-positions, which compounds slippage and fees. Trading volume of $3,060 spread across 705 markets is spray-and-pray across prediction market categories. He deposited $74.57K, withdrew $30.22K, leaving $44.34K net in — and watched it evaporate to roughly $39.88K remaining. Zero open positions now, all 50 closed. The wallet's quiet. Risk level tagged as low but behavior screams desperate edge-hunting. Speed traders don't survive in Polymarket unless they have true arbitrage or insider flow. This one had reaction time and nothing else.
Check your own Polymarket wallet analytics on Predicts.guru to see if you're making the same mistake: winning constantly but drowning in slippage and bet sizing. This Polymarket trader's profile is a case study in how prediction market leaderboards fool you into thinking velocity beats conviction.
conservativeRisk: low