0x708484b120b551ac2964c6f26abc0e50b171f50c
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0x708484b120b551ac2964c6f26abc0e50b171f50c is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$50 PnL, $3.6K total volume, a 50.2% win rate, and activity across 171 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as unrated and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
0x708484b120b551ac2964c6f26abc0e50b171f50c Polymarket trader ran 213 trades across 171 markets in literally one day, pulling 192 trades per day, but still somehow lost $49.82 — the robot that thought speed was the answer.
Meet the bot. Rank 1,746,413. Crypto_bot trader type. 50.2% win rate on Polymarket, which sounds breakeven until you see the math: -$49.82 total PnL on $3.6K volume means the house edge + slippage ate the whole edge before it could compound. This isn't a failed strategy. It's a failed thesis that pure velocity solves prediction markets.
The play was simple: fire 192 trades per day, mostly on Bitcoin Up or Down micro-intervals (the five-minute candle stuff). Spray and pray. The wallet showed up with enough capital to scale, hit the same market 652 times across buy/sell combos, and expected noise arbitrage to carry the day. Best single trade made $158.43. Worst blew $159.12 on the same market same day. Literal coin flip execution dressed up in bot code.
Here's where it breaks: 213 trades in one compressed window (February 17, roughly), averaging $2.06 per position, 50% hit rate on Polymarket micro-markets. The bot was fast. Not profitable. Speed without edge is just expensive noise collection — every trade paying the taker fee, every micro-swing fought by latency and bid-ask spread. The wallet sat at negative ROI (-1.37%) despite winning slightly more than half the time because quantity can't beat quality in markets where you're fighting prediction market makers on five-minute windows.
Zero open positions now. The experiment ran, the bot closed out, -$49.82 richer in wisdom if not USD. This is the evolution from "let's build a faster Polymarket scraper" to understanding that Polymarket isn't a high-frequency venue — it's a discovery mechanism that rewards thesis depth, not millisecond advantages. The crypto_bot Polymarket trader who learned the hard way that 192 trades per day on binary noise markets is just expensive education, not alpha.
Not everyone survives the first day in prediction markets. This one didn't die — just stayed flat and learned.
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