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NCR1 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$541 PnL, $107.3K total volume, a 12.5% win rate, and activity across 121 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
i opened a wallet with 12.5% win rate and expected a degen gambler — instead found a Polymarket trader who turned $107k in volume into -$540 net PnL while maintaining shockingly consistent discipline.
NCR1 ranks #2,559,558 — a diversified Polymarket trader with 50 closed trades across 121 markets, all sports and niche events. 12.5% win rate. That's 6 wins out of 48. But the strategy isn't about being right — it's about being wrong small.
The edge hack here is pure position sizing math. NCR1's average trade size sits at $113.95 with entry prices averaging $0.928 — meaning they're buying "overwhelming favorites" at near-certainty odds. The best trade on Cavaliers vs. Knicks netted +$16.15. The worst trade on that same Cavaliers-Knicks market lost -$30. So maximum single win is barely half the max single loss. That's not a bug — it's the grind.
Proof: $107k total volume with -0.5% ROI. 6.7 trades per day. The buy/sell ratio is 0.995 — meaning NCR1 buys and sells at almost identical frequency. This isn't a directional trader. This is someone farming small edges through high frequency, treating Polymarket like a market-making bot with human execution. The "strategy" is to never hold bag, never chase outsized wins, just clip infinitesimal spreads until one goes wrong.
What separates NCR1 from 99% of degens? Discipline over ego. Most Polymarket traders with 12.5% win rate would tilt, chase, blow up. This wallet just keeps grinding — same size, same odds, same mechanical approach. It's boring math over gut feel. The low risk label confirms: they're not trying to 10x.
Currently: zero open positions. Closed 50 trades and apparently stepped away. The realism caveat — this profile looks like free money until you try to exit. $540 loss on $107k volume is -0.5%, which is death by a thousand cuts for most humans. Not everyone survives the drawdown when your "win" is +$16 and your "loss" is -$30.
i've been tracking this wallet using Predicts.guru to see if the grind continues or if NCR1 finally breaks the matrix — you can check Polymarket wallet analytics for other diversified grinders there too.
diversifiedRisk: low