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graviarbwsg is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$24.7K PnL, $283.3K total volume, a 51.9% win rate, and activity across 432 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
graviarbwsg Polymarket trader burned $24.6K in 474 trades across 432 different markets — but somehow still posts a 51.87% win rate, which is the kind of cruel paradox that keeps degenerates scrolling prediction markets at 3 AM.
The wallet speaks for itself. Started with $46.5K in deposits, withdrew $21.9K, and sits at minus $24.6K PnL on a -52.97% ROI. That's the math that hurts. But here's where it gets weird: graviarbwsg trades 3.5 times per day with an average entry of 0.816 — basically buying noise in the 80-cent range and praying for rips. Win rate hovers just above 50%, which means he's genuinely flipping coins, except the coins cost him $72.75 on average per trade. Total volume sits at $283K across those 432 markets, which tells you this is pure diversified chaos. No thesis. No edge. Just scatter-gun market picking.
The best trade hit $2,062 on Logan Paul's Pikachu Illustrator card price — a one-off lottery ticket. The worst? Presidential Election Winner 2024 wiped $29K. That single trade is bigger than his cumulative three-year losses, and it never recovered. One bad conviction trade demolished the whole account's narrative. Open positions still number 9, which means he's still in the game, still swinging, still hoping the next 474 trades fix the first 474.
This is low-risk positioning masking high-risk behavior. The real edge here is negative. graviarbwsg trades diversified across everything — top Polymarket categories, trash bins, meme outcomes, election noise — without conviction depth in any single domain. Check the buy-sell ratio of 1.88: he's throwing more money at positions that are already losing, which is textbook revenge trading. Polymarket wallet analytics show this pattern across thousands of small entries rather than patient capital allocation. A true Polymarket whale concentrates thesis; this trader spreads confusion.
Currently sitting with 9 open positions and $24.6K in the red, graviarbwsg is either doubling down on process faith or waiting for that one massive flip to justify the grind. Most traders don't survive this drawdown. The numbers suggest he won't either — not because he's dumb, but because 51.87% win rate at $72 average size doesn't beat fees and slippage over 474 spins.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru to watch how prediction market diversification becomes a liability when there's no underlying model.
diversifiedRisk: low