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Trader Overview
HOOK
LudikBogdan Polymarket trader turned a $1,119 deposit into a $1,065 PnL swing across 184 trades — then watched ROI crater -92% because the math on small accounts doesn't forgive even decent execution.
IDENTITY
LudikBogdan. Rank 51,159. Conservative trader type, low risk profile. 62.6% win rate across 181 markets. The data screams discipline: 2.4 trades per day, $190 avg size, zero withdrawals ever.
STRATEGY
Sports betting masquerading as prediction market alpha. Best trade pulled $540 on AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal. Worst trade dumped -$924 on Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest. The play: buy noise on sports outcomes before linemakers move, scale out on 60% conviction. Buy-to-sell ratio of 2.18 shows he's loading positions, not flip-flopping.
PROOF
Polymarket win rate sits clean at 62.6% — statistically solid for someone grinding 184 total trades. But here's the brutal edge-killer: $1,119 starting capital means every winner needs to cover size. Best single win was $540. Worst single loss hit -$924. Portfolio value currently $89.50. The Polymarket PnL math works until compounding stops working.
EDGE
What separates LudikBogdan from the degen crowd: he doesn't chase hot markets. Stuck to 181 specific markets, built a thesis around sports betting inefficiencies where oddsmakers misprice public sentiment. Low risk discipline kept drawdowns surgical. But here's what no one tells you about Polymarket trading on small deposits: you need either scale or exit liquidity. He has neither. Portfolio sits at $89.50 after the bleed. Win rate means nothing if you can't live to trade another year.
NOW
Ten open positions active. Zero withdrawals since launch means he's reinvesting every cycle or waiting for the bounce. Conservative profile, smart bet sizing, but net transfer sits at $1,119 against -92% ROI. This is what peak discipline looks like when capital is the constraint, not execution. Not everyone survives the small-account grind.
diversifiedRisk: medium