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Trader Overview
forget4 Polymarket trader turned $19K into $77K on pure esports edge — 91% win rate across 303 trades, zero luck visible.
forget4 is a mid-tier whale (rank 1354) grinding esports prediction markets with surgical precision. This isn't a macro trader or election degen — forget4 reads team form, meta shifts, and playoff momentum like most people read headlines. Operates across 296 markets but stays almost exclusively in esports (League, Valorant, Counter-Strike). Low-risk profile with $2.87K live portfolio and strict position sizing ($1,250 average trade).
The edge is stupidly simple: noise collection. While retail piles into household-name tournaments and overvalues chaos, forget4 hunts regional esports matches where odds break hard against actual competitive reality. Best trade? A $9.5K winner on LoL (GAM vs Fukuoka in LCP Playoffs) — that's exactly where most traders skip because "who cares about regional leagues." Worst loss was only -$3,065 on Valorant VCT. The spread between max win and loss? That's discipline. Most esports degenerates blow $10K on one upset; forget4 caps damage and compounds winners.
291 winning trades out of 303 total says this is repeatable, not random. 0.24% ROI on deposits reads shallow until you realize the math: $77.5K profit on $19.3K initial deposit is 4x capital in under a year on real prediction market conditions. Three trades per day suggests some automation or rigid checklist (market opens, scan regional fixtures, enter if odds favor team form, exit at 5-15% profit windows). The 6.46 buy-sell ratio hints at a runner — enter small, scale winners, cut losers fast.
Risk caveat: esports prediction markets are thin. Liquidity dries fast on deep regional plays. forget4's next 10x won't happen if the market grows — edges flatten when more sharp money arrives. Also carrying 146 open positions suggests either conviction or concentration risk; if a major esports meta shift hits (new patch, roster swap), this wallet could face simultaneous drawdowns. Not everyone survives that.
Currently holds $2.8K in live positions. No recent deposit dumps, which signals confidence or capital constraints. This is a Polymarket whale that proved you can build edge in ignored corners of prediction markets — less alpha male hype than humble market research.
whaleRisk: low