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Trader Overview
0xk01rA5skl0nksa7FF3 (0x66cc9e78dc77d5a07fea7d19af48c59542947135) Polymarket trader turned $103K into $154K in what looks like pure noise farming — 158 trades across 152 markets, exactly 50% win rate, and somehow still up $51K. The contrarian move isn't the profit. It's that he's buying chaos.
Rank 2016 Polymarket whale with a brutally honest profile: low risk tolerance, 4.4 trades per day, $1.9K average bet size. Bio empty. Twitter empty. No thesis visible. Just a wallet that keeps showing up in markets everyone else thinks are too noisy to trade. The type who watches Polymarket leaderboards like a live scoreboard and executes on what retail is panicking about, not what makes sense on paper.
His edge is pure contrarian timing wrapped in volume. Look at the buy-to-sell ratio: 10.2x more buys than sells. He's accumulating into liquidation cascades and panic dumps. When a Polymarket market gets weird — big seller, line moves fast, noise spike — he's there. The math is brutal: 50% win rate on 158 trades should be mediocre. Instead he's grinding out 49.81% ROI on deposits because his winners hit bigger. Best trade netted $15,288 on Jazz vs. Bulls (2026-01-15). Worst trade was -$14,849 on Kings vs. Jazz (2026-02-12). He takes it. No ego. No revenge trades.
What separates him from 99% Polymarket traders: discipline on position sizing (that avg trade size stays locked) and zero FOMO hunting. He's not chasing the trending market. He's fishing where retail is drowning. The 50% win rate looks broken until you realize he's not trying to be right. He's trying to be profitable, and there's a massive difference in prediction markets when you accept that a 50% prediction market win rate with +49% ROI is alpha. Most traders chase 60%+ win rates and go broke. He stays small, stays consistent, stays alive.
Currently holding 6 open positions on $42K portfolio value. Net transfers are negative (-$8,876), meaning he's actually withdrawn more than he's deposited — the account is self-funding. That's not luck. That's a trader who's proven the edge enough to stop feeding it. Risk caveat: 152 different markets means surface exposure. One black swan across his open book and the noise stops paying. But so far, the contrarian is eating better than the crowd.
whaleRisk: low