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neobrother is a Polymarket wallet profile with $31.6K PnL, $1.8M total volume, a 44.7% win rate, and activity across 3850 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
neobrather Polymarket trader turned $891 into $24.8K in pure prediction market edge — 2,536% ROI on 3,223 trades while most whales chase one category, he's scattered across 2,745 markets like a contrarian picking fights everywhere.
neobrother sits rank 3,845 on Polymarket leaderboards with a $24.8K total PnL and the most confusing profile you'll see from a top Polymarket whale. Low risk rating, 43.9% win rate, 67.9 trades per day — sounds broken until you realize the math: he's not trying to win most bets, he's engineering small consistent edges across noise.
The play is volume arbitrage meets noise harvesting. Buy the dip on overreacted binary outcomes, sell into panic rallies, repeat 68 times a day. His 2.8:1 buy-to-sell ratio screams accumulation strategy — he's not hedging, he's stacking micro-positions on markets everyone else ignores. Top win hit $4.8K on a temperature prediction nobody was trading deep; worst loss capped at -$1.6K. That asymmetry isn't luck, it's discipline: he lets winners breathe, clips losers fast.
2,745 markets traded across 3,167 closed positions tells the real story. While Polymarket leaderboard grinders obsess over political elections and crypto volatility, neobrother's farming the tail: weather, sports minutiae, academic outcomes, regulatory nonsense. The contrarian edge lives in markets with zero institutional flow, where one whale with conviction moves prices 30% in 10 minutes. He's there buying.
What separates neobrother from 99% degens: he doesn't need conviction. Win rate sits at 43.9% — below coin flip — but ROI is 2,536%. That only works if your winners are 6x your losers on average, and you're executing fast enough to dodge the liquidation trap. On prediction markets where most retail holds underwater bags for weeks, he's exit-oriented. 67.9 trades daily means zero emotional attachment. Position size stays micro ($9.98 avg), so blowup risk stays real but contained.
Currently holding 56 open positions across esoteric markets most Polymarket traders never touch. Withdrawn $23.4K against $891 deposits — that's pure extraction. The caveat: this only works in fragmented markets with wide spreads and slow price discovery. When prediction markets consolidate liquidity (they always do eventually), this edge compresses. Not everyone survives the transition from scattered noise to efficient pricing. He's running the clock on arbitrage that won't last forever.
whaleRisk: medium