0x5e500b63c9100b041d9e2ceb2e72489cfc77671d
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0x5e500b63c9100b041d9e2ceb2e72489cfc77671d is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$1 PnL, $74 total volume, a 50.0% win rate, and activity across 3 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
HOOK
0x5e500b63c9100b041d9e2ceb2e72489cfc77671d Polymarket trader dropped $25 into prediction markets and torched 82% of it in three trades — the cautionary tale every newcomer needs to see before they touch sports betting on-chain.
IDENTITY
Rank 1.1M on Polymarket leaderboard. Pure newcomer. Three total trades across three different markets. $74.4 volume, $25 initial deposit, now sitting on a -$0.7 PnL coffin with exactly 50% win rate and one position still bleeding.
STRATEGY
Classic retail move: scatter small bets across unrelated categories (sports, crypto price action, more sports) with zero thesis. No specialization. No edge. Just hoping something sticks. The wallet checker data shows zero pattern — just a shot-in-the-dark approach that works until the math catches up.
PROOF
Best trade pulled $0.55 from Celtics vs. 76ers on April 26. Worst trade lost $0.34 on Bitcoin price prediction. That 0.55 win should've been the learning moment; instead, the next move immediately bled more than the first win returned. Average entry price of 0.89 means this wallet was already buying on the way down — panic buying into bad odds. Total portfolio now worth $4.47. The math is brutal: -82% ROI on deposits. This is what Polymarket whale hunters DON'T talk about — the thousands of wallets getting deleted quietly every week.
EDGE
There isn't one. And that's the whole point. Low risk level technically (small position sizing), but strategically reckless. No markets traded count beyond three. No win rate above coin flip. No discipline visible in position management. The buy-sell ratio of 4.5 suggests panic accumulation into losers. One open position still hanging — probably another underwater play being held hoping for juice. The contrarian edge here is actually having ZERO edge and documenting what that looks like on-chain.
NOW
Still holding one position. $4.47 left to lose or fight with. This wallet is one bad trade away from total wipeout or sudden focus. Probability? They either quit (most likely) or get serious about category specialization and market selection. The drawdown is survivable if they reset the thesis. But statistically, new prediction market traders with this pattern don't come back.
Check this wallet's complete history and compare to top Polymarket traders using Predicts.guru — see how real edges separate from random noise.
newcomerRisk: low