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Cachavacha25 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $18 PnL, $2.9K total volume, a 43.8% win rate, and activity across 387 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Cachavacha25 (0x5c757fc1ef8b7c995aefa520011f3b8d2952627b) turned $115 into $290 in pure prediction market chaos—183% ROI on 390 trades across 387 markets in two months, averaging 7.8 trades per day on a wallet that reads like a weather station gone feral.
The setup looks insane at first glance. Diversified trader, 43.82% win rate, $18.08 total PnL. Medium risk. But here's what separates Cachavacha25 from the 99% of degens who spray bets across random noise: this isn't chaotic—it's systematic collection of small edges in hyper-specific, low-liquidity micro-markets. Checking Polymarket wallet analytics on this address reveals the real pattern. The best trade grabbed $10.65 on highest temperature in Milan on April 26, while the worst trade dropped $4.47 on Dallas heat. Temperature prediction markets. That's the edge hack in plain English—while Polymarket whales fight over presidential elections and crypto price action, Cachavacha25 farms the inefficient tail: weather markets, niche sports outcomes, obscure prop bets that most prediction market analytics tools don't even track. These markets move slower, have less informed flow, and attract fewer sophisticated traders.
The math screams discipline. Nearly 2.6x buy-to-sell ratio means this Polymarket trader holds through noise instead of panic-selling. Average entry at 0.64 probability—buying the dip, not the headline. 7.8 trades daily across 387 different markets means this isn't one-trick—it's diversification as an actual edge, not just risk spreading. 123 open positions at once. That's concentration in chaos, but managed through volume and category spread. The portfolio sits at $290.58 on just $115 net deposits after withdrawals.
Here's the risk: 43% win rate only works if you're right on position sizing and odds capture. Temperature markets seem liquid until they don't. One bad April day liquidates half the gains. Not everyone survives the drawdown when you're averaging $2.08 per trade. The worst trade hit -$4.47—that's 4.2% of total wallet, a sign that even diversified plays can sting hard.
Currently running 123 open positions. Recent activity stays aggressive. This Polymarket trader's edge lives in boring, fragmented markets where the smart money hasn't bothered to show up yet.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru and check Polymarket wallet checker tools to monitor how long the weather-market edge holds before the market catches on.
diversifiedRisk: medium