poptree
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poptree is a Polymarket wallet profile with $296.4K PnL, $17.3M total volume, a 71.7% win rate, and activity across 588 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
poptree (0x57c5de7efafb020e589f80e0da6e16e9b5c907aa) is a Polymarket trader who turned $628K in deposits into $1.1M+ in total portfolio value — a 30.77% ROI while keeping win rate at 71.75% across 701 trades.
Rank 429 whale. Trades everything (588 markets in 292 days). The edge: surgical entry discipline and ruthless position sizing. Average entry at 0.8046 means poptree buys when odds are fat, not when noise peaks. Buy-to-sell ratio of 2.85 reads like someone who accumulates conviction plays and exits surgically — not panic selling. Daily rate sits at 2.4 trades, steady enough to feel algorithmic but human enough to adjust on weird days. This is not chaos trading.
The proof lives in the numbers. $296.4K PnL on $17.3M volume means every dollar deployed returns 1.7 cents — not flashy until you compare to most Polymarket traders who break even or worse. Best single trade: $71K win on Democratic Nominee 2024. Worst: -$39.8K on Presidential Election Winner 2024. Max single loss barely scratches the portfolio — risk management is obviously tight.
What separates poptree from 99% prediction market degens: low risk classification + 71.7% win rate is not luck. Retail chases headlines; poptree chases mispriced odds in niche corners. 588 different markets traded suggests someone who hunts inefficiency systematically across categories, not just following Twitter drama on one race or election. Entry price discipline (0.80 average) means zero FOMO buying. Portfolio has $504K liquid, 25 open positions running now — spread enough to sleep at night, concentrated enough to compound hard.
Currently sits with 676 closed trades and 25 live positions. Total deposits $628K, withdrawn $317K, keeping $311K net skin in. Not everyone survives 71.7% win rate without drawdown psychology breaking them — poptree's stayed consistent, which is rarer than the PnL itself.
Check poptree's wallet on Predicts.guru or other Polymarket wallet analytics tools to track this live — open positions update daily and entry prices tell the real story.
whaleRisk: low