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hopedieslast is a Polymarket wallet profile with $512.2K PnL, $7.8M total volume, a 60.7% win rate, and activity across 160 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
hopedieslast (0x5739ddf8672627ce076eff5f444610a250075f1a) Polymarket trader turned $267K into $373K in pure PnL with a 69% win rate — the numbers scream disciplined accumulation, not luck.
Rank 306 on Polymarket leaderboard. Whale-tier conviction player. 113 total trades across 110 markets, averaging $3,394 per position. That's patient. That's not chasing noise. The wallet reads like someone who knows exactly which markets to farm and when to sit still.
The edge: hopedieslast enters deep in the range (avg entry 0.79), lets conviction compound, and exits when conviction peaks. Buy/sell ratio of 1.68 means he's comfortable holding thesis longer than he flips. Win rate sits at 68.96% — that's not variance, that's reproducible process. Over 113 trades, you don't accidentally hit 69% if you're guessing. He's grinding prediction markets like a skill game, not a casino.
Best trade pulled $56.8K on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?. Worst trade clipped -$33.7K. Max loss is 59% of max win — tight risk management. The real tell: only 26 open positions right now across 110 markets touched. Closes winners. Cuts losers. Not holding bags.
ROI of 56.18% on deposits. $399K portfolio value. 87 closed positions, 26 still breathing. The daily trade frequency sits at 0.3 per day — roughly 2-3 trades per week. That's low-risk grinding, not high-frequency panic arbitrage. Some Polymarket whales burn out chasing volume. hopedieslast Polymarket trader metrics show the opposite: controlled conviction, held discipline, compounded steadily.
Low risk classification makes sense. He's not betting the farm on any single prediction market. Average trade size under $3.4K when portfolio sits near $400K means position sizing is tight. The math works because it's built for survival first, alpha second.
Right now: 26 positions open, portfolio up 56% ROI. Not everyone survives the Polymarket drawdown — the volatility, the speed of resolve, the exit traps. hopedieslast has stayed above water and kept compounding. Whether that holds in the next 50 trades is always the question, but the track record says disciplined beats desperate every time.
whaleRisk: medium