Collion
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Collion is a Polymarket wallet profile with $11.4K PnL, $535.6K total volume, a 92.8% win rate, and activity across 85 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Collion Polymarket trader turned $2,187 into $13,539 in pure profit — 286% ROI on tiny deposits, 92.8% win rate across 86 trades, and somehow still flying under the radar at rank 9758.
Name: Collion. Conservative trader, 86 total trades, 85 markets touched. Two open positions right now. The type who scales methodically instead of YOLOing the family house.
Strategy is dead simple: size down, win often. Average trade sits at $3,666 but the real edge is the entry — buying near 0.93 odds (massive discount territory) and waiting for the crowd to catch up. Buy-to-sell ratio of 2.04 tells the story: this wallet accumulates dips, doesn't panic-dump rallies. Noise collection wrapped in discipline. 2.1 trades per day means consistent presence, not ADHD degen energy.
Numbers don't lie. $11.4K PnL on $2,187 deposited equals 286% return in what looks like weeks, not months. Best single win pulled $985 from the Elon Musk tweet count market (March 26-28, 2026) — niche prediction play, zero hype. Worst loss was $2,920 on a similar Elon market, proving even 92.77% accuracy means one in ten bets gets torched. Win rate that clean across 86 trades makes most Polymarket whale trackers pause — either disciplined as hell or got lucky on a concentrated bet thesis. Predicts.guru data suggests the former: consistent daily execution beats random lottery.
What separates Collion from 99% of degens: low risk tolerance + high conviction on micro-trends. Elon tweet prediction markets are pure signal-to-noise farms — nobody's seriously analyzing daily tweet volume except the spreadsheet crowd. This trader entered undervalued, waited weeks, cashed out when normies finally noticed. No panic selling, no FOMO chasing. The portfolio holds $8,445 in live value right now with only two open positions — tight risk management, not spread-bet chaos.
Caveat: 286% gains look free until you realize two things. First, small absolute deposits ($2.1k) mean this could reverse on three bad trades. Second, Elon tweet markets have limited liquidity — exiting at profit requires buyers. Not everyone survives the drawdown phase when volatility spikes or conviction gets tested.
Check this wallet on Predicts.guru or use Polymarket wallet analytics to see if the Elon thesis still holds or if Collion's pivoting to new prediction market categories.
conservativeRisk: low