Mapp-446
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Mapp-446 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$66 PnL, $1.0K total volume, a 58.3% win rate, and activity across 27 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Mapp-446 has 24 total trades, a 58.3% win rate — and somehow managed to turn $67.60 in deposits into a -$66.2 PnL. That's not a typo. One wallet that deposited less than what some people spend on a Chipotle bowl, traded 27 markets, and still sits at a net loss. The math is brutal: 58% of picks hit, but the ones that miss hit 3–4x harder.
IDENTITY: Mapp-446 — rank #2,216,765 on the Polymarket leaderboard. Diversified trader. Tiny stakes. Not a whale — more like a minnow testing the waters.
STRATEGY: Spreads small bets across many markets. 24 trades across 27 markets (yes, some overlap). Avg trade size? $7.63. Entry price avg is $0.60 — meaning they're buying the "yes" side closer to even money than deep conviction plays. This is pure "let's see what sticks" trading.
PROOF: The bookends tell the story. Best trade: Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia (2026-02-19) netted +$8.05. Worst trade: Panthers vs. Oilers (2025-06-05) dropped -$30 — almost half the entire deposit in one swing. 2:1 buy-to-sell ratio suggests they're more interested in accumulating shares than flipping them. That's not an edge — that's an expensive hobby.
EDGE: There is no edge here. 58.3% win rate with a -100% ROI is the signature of someone who doesn't manage risk. They win more often than they lose but lose bigger when they're wrong. That's the textbook definition of negative expectancy gambling, not prediction market analytics.
NOW: 0 open positions. $0 balance. 100% of deposits gone. Full portfolio liquidated. They're either taking a break or the account is dead.
CTA: Check if Mapp-446 ever comes back to life by using Polymarket wallet checker tools like Predicts.guru to monitor their wallet — or use it to find the actual top Polymarket traders on the Polymarket leaderboard before depositing your own funds.
diversifiedRisk: medium