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ARTESANOS.inc is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$136 PnL, $207.0K total volume, a 73.8% win rate, and activity across 657 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
ARTESANOS.inc Polymarket trader runs 73.75% win rate across 683 trades but sits -$136 PnL—the cold math of prediction markets where high accuracy doesn't guarantee profit.
ARTESANOS.inc ranks outside top 2 million Polymarket traders but trades like a machine: 27.6 trades per day, 657 different markets touched, strict conservative discipline. Type: noise farmer. Reads every headline, bets every category. The portfolio holds $4,405 in live positions against $8,307 deposited—real money in, real losses out.
The edge hack is volume + win rate math. High-frequency betting across prediction market analytics terrain means catching micro-mispricings before the crowd corrects. 73% accuracy sounds elite until you see the wallet: $206,984 total volume pushed through, only $118 max win on the Bitcoin April 13 trade. That's the trap. Polymarket wallet analytics shows the real story—best single trade netted $118.57, worst blew $355 on a Counter-Strike esports bet. Small edges compounded wrong direction. Buy-sell ratio sits 3.63x, meaning they're holding long bets more than cutting losses fast. Classic conservative trader mistake: conviction beats liquidity.
The drawdown is real. Started with $8,307 in deposits, pulled out $3,250, now nursing a -7.83% ROI across 640 closed positions. Check Polymarket wallet checker data: 43 open positions still active, averaging $23.43 per trade. That's not a typo—micro-sizing into a sea of markets. Prediction market analytics here reveal the pattern: ARTESANOS.inc spreads capital so thin across 657 markets that even a 73% win rate can't overcome fee bleed and execution slop. One bad esports pick (-$355) wiped 3+ Bitcoin bets ($118 upside).
What separates them from 99% degens: they actually have discipline. Low risk tolerance. Consistent daily volume. But that's exactly the problem on Polymarket—discipline without concentration is just slow losses. The wallet shows someone who reads the strategy posts, understands win rate math, then applies it wrong. More markets, more bets, more fees. Higher accuracy but lower PnL per dollar risked.
Currently holding 43 live positions across crypto, sports, politics, esports—everything. The volatility hasn't hit yet, but 27.6 daily trades means one bad week compounds fast. Not everyone survives the drawdown once Polymarket leaderboard sentiment flips.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru to watch how conservative discipline either recovers the -$136 or blows past the $355 worst-case.
conservativeRisk: low