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Trader Overview
Osienn (0x4f51bd37e0674d7194ed9a310dc19322822d695c) Polymarket trader just turned $882K deposits into $1.023M withdrawals on a perfect 29-for-29 win rate — one single Presidential Election Winner 2024 trade paid for the entire operation.
This is Osienn. Rank 826 on the leaderboard. Pure whale energy, zero losses, 100% win rate Polymarket trader across 29 markets. The math screams discipline: 15.95% ROI, $141K total PnL, average trade size $1,060. Not a volume grinder. Not a degen. A surgeon.
The edge is absurd in its simplicity. Osienn trades political prediction markets — specifically high-conviction election outcomes where the Polymarket crowd still misprices long-dated certainty. The Presidential Election Winner 2024 trade netted $141,097 on a single position. Every other trade was wrapping-up noise, but that one bet carried the entire account. The second-best position? Czech Republic Parliamentary Election. Basically irrelevant PnL ($0.004). The strategy isn't complexity. It's picking one macro thesis and letting it print while the market argues about minutiae.
Current status: 6 open positions, $236 portfolio value (post-withdrawal). The $1.023M exit happened. This isn't a guy proving points anymore — he cashed the check. Low risk profile by design. 39 buy-sell ratio tells you Osienn doesn't panic-dump. He loads, waits, collects. Trades roughly once every 10 days. Slow, methodical, boring. That's the tell.
The real separation: while most Polymarket whales grind 50-100 trades chasing win rate % that doesn't matter, Osienn ran 29 trades total, hit 100%, and walked away richer. No max single loss on the record. The worst trade lost $0.004. This isn't luck — this is someone who only entered bets they'd already won on thesis before executing. High conviction, perfect execution, zero slippage thinking. He saw the political prediction market as a temporary mispricing machine, not a permanent career. That's rare. Most traders get addicted to the process. Osienn got rich and ghosted.
Fair caveat: one-trade dominance (141K out of 141K PnL) means Presidential Election Winner 2024 was the entire thesis. Remove that position and this profile evaporates. But he did remove it — already withdrew $140K net. The risk on remaining positions is acknowledged by the low-risk tag. Osienn proved Polymarket prediction markets reward thesis conviction, not grinding. Now he's living the proof.
whaleRisk: low