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Malganis is a Polymarket wallet profile with $4.0K PnL, $1.6M total volume, a 76.9% win rate, and activity across 2611 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet with $19.3K in total deposits currently showing a net PnL of $4,024 — but that 48.47% negative ROI on deposits means Malganis is underwater despite 714 trades and a 76.9% win rate.
Malganis is a #26,161 ranked Polymarket whale who has traded across 2,611 markets, averaging 3.5 trades per day with a buy-to-sell ratio of 1.57 that screams accumulation bias on high-probability outcomes.
The strategy is simple: bet heavily on "yes" shares near certainty levels (average entry price 0.84) across geopolitical and conflict markets. The edge? Smothering volume on near-resolved events with small, frequent buys — think collecting pennies on high-liquidity freight trains. Best trade came from predicting Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? for a $554 win. Worst was US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? losing $352 — the classic "peace never comes" trap.
What separates Malganis from 99% of prediction market degens? Discipline. A 76.9% win rate is elite, but with an average trade size of just $125 and low-risk classification, this isn't a YOLO whale — they're grinding micro-edges in the noise. The black hole: a 48.47% ROI on total deposits. This wallet looks like a Polymarket wallet analytics nightmare — high win rate, negative return. That's the math gap where retail gets cooked: winning 76.9% of bets but losing overall means the losses are bigger and more concentrated.
Right now Malganis holds 264 open positions worth $9,144, with a portfolio still 47% below initial deposits. The skepticism is earned: consistent winners with negative ROI are either fighting spread, getting crushed on tail risk, or have an edge that only works in trends — not reversals.
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whaleRisk: low