kamil - 4924
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kamil - 4924 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$18 PnL, N/A total volume, a 20.0% win rate, and activity across 5 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
HOOK
kamil - 4924 [0x4b4025cb9a42d31109f62adca0410f0679b618ff] is a Polymarket trader who deposited $22.63 in real money, lost every penny across 5 trades, and somehow still has the wallet active — a cautionary masterclass in why prediction market analytics matter before you start betting.
IDENTITY
Rank 1757142. Diversified trader type. Five total trades. Twenty percent win rate (one winner out of five). Medium risk profile, but the results scream beginner who learned expensive lessons fast.
STRATEGY
kamil chased headlines without conviction. Bet $22.63 across unrelated categories — crypto regulation, US politics, election outcomes — the spray-and-pray approach that works until it doesn't. No niche. No edge. Just scrolling Polymarket's top markets and clicking buy.
PROOF
Total PnL negative $18 on $22.63 deposited equals a negative 100% ROI. The math is brutal. One win: $1.07 on a Coinbase XRP delisting prediction. Then the portfolio imploded. Worst single trade lost $14 on a Trump inauguration bet (dated 2021 — already resolved before the wallet even moved money). That's the smoking gun right there. kamil traded on outcomes already determined, or misread settlement dates entirely. No Polymarket wallet checker would've flagged this as legitimate alpha. This is what happens when you check Polymarket without doing five minutes of research first.
EDGE
There is none. That's the point. kamil represents 99% of retail Polymarket entrants — deposit, diversify across unrelated bets, lose discipline, liquidate. The "edge" here is negative: a textbook case of what to avoid. No position sizing. No category focus. No win rate management. When your best trade clears $1.07 and your worst bleeds $14, you're not trading — you're gambling on noise with a 1:$18 loss-to-win ratio.
NOW
Zero open positions. All five trades closed. Balance: zero. kamil has not returned since the wipeout. This wallet sits dormant on Polymarket leaderboards as a reminder that even $22.63 deserves a thesis. The risk caveat is obvious: retail Polymarket traders underestimate drawdown velocity. You can be right 20% of the time and still lose everything if position sizing and category focus are absent.
Track this wallet's profile on Predicts.guru to see how other top Polymarket traders avoid the kamil path — consistency beats diversification every single time.
diversifiedRisk: medium