0x4a867b1f268e153De1d359e337914a714fABd3e
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0x4a867b1f268e153De1d359e337914a714fABd3e is a Polymarket wallet profile with $141.7K PnL, $25.2M total volume, a 60.6% win rate, and activity across 22577 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
0x4a867b1f268e153De1d359e337914a714fABd3e Polymarket trader just hit $141.7K PnL grinding 28,141 trades across 22,577 markets — that's nearly 49 trades per day on a wallet rank #840, and somehow keeps a 60.6% win rate while underwater -44.64% ROI on deposits.
Meet the noise farmer. This is a volume-first, category-agnostic Polymarket whale operating more like a prediction market scalp bot than a thesis builder. The display name is blank (literally just the wallet), the portfolio is lean at $30.5K, and the strategy is crystalline: enter shallow, exit fast, repeat 48 times daily. Low risk flagged, but that's because position sizing stays disciplined — average trade size sits at $199.58, buy-to-sell ratio hits 2500, meaning they're layering entries and trimming obsessively.
The edge? Pure market microstructure play. Opened a $307K wallet, immediately started hunting mispricing across every prediction category imaginable. Won $21.6K on a single Ethereum ETF flow call in November. But then took a $3.1K gut punch on Suns vs. Pistons action. The contradiction explodes: positive PnL, negative ROI. Translation: this account rode early conviction hard, then bled into the noise long enough that volatility grinding can't cover the gravitational pull of early losses. That's not a feature — that's the trap.
What separates 0x4a867b from 99% degens is tactical patience despite ADHD-level frequency. 60.6% win rate on 28K trades is statistical dominance. Most Polymarket wallets see 50-55%. But here's the real tell: 96 open positions right now. They're not conviction holding; they're orphaning losing bets and rolling winners forward. It's elegant until market sentiment pivots and all 28,141 positions become correlated luggage. The "low risk" label reads like false advertising when you're carrying that much live exposure across micro-cap prediction noise.
Current move is deep rotation mode. Withdrawals at $139K against deposits of $307K signal slow capital exit or rebalancing to avoid the liquidity trap. Portfolio value collapsed to $30K because most capital is swimming in open positions, not sitting idle. If volatility compresses or Polymarket spreads widen, this strategy flips from quiet grind to underwater collapse faster than most retail can hit refresh.
Track wallet activity and position changes on Predicts.guru to see if this Polymarket whale finally cuts the bleeding or doubles down deeper into the noise factory.
whaleRisk: low