0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
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0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$3.4M PnL, $506.7M total volume, a 100.0% win rate, and activity across 1699 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
-$8.4M down on $297M wagered. That's a whale learning expensive lessons in real time.
0x4924 is ranked #2,159,128 across Polymarket, a low-risk trader who's moved $297M through 876 trades across 869 different markets. The ROI tells the story: -2.83%, which on a $506.7M volume hit is brutal math. Win rate sits at 48.8% — basically coin-flip territory.
This is a volume player who trades 33 times per day with an average position size of $31k. They're not doubling down on conviction; they're spreading bets thin across nearly every market available. The buy-sell ratio of 500 skews heavily toward buying, which hints at a passive accumulation strategy rather than short-selling edge. They've got 0 open positions still sitting in their $716k remaining portfolio, suggesting they're either hoping for mean reversion or stuck riding losses.
The win-loss spreads are tight: best trade pulled $473k (that Chelsea FC match), worst trade bled $467k. Almost identical magnitude. That symmetry isn't accident — it's pattern. When your biggest wins and losses are nearly mirror images across 876 trades, you're not finding alpha, you're running a casino where the house is against you.
The real tell: -$3.4M PnL with a "low risk" tag means this trader treats risk conservatively per position but catastrophically at the portfolio level. Diversifying across 1,699 markets didn't hedge anything; it just spread losses evenly. They're currently down nearly 92% from their peak capital and still averaging $31k per trade.
Still active with 0 open positions. Either conviction is broken or conviction is all they have left.
whaleRisk: medium