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BlueHorseshoe86 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $440.1K PnL, $2.2M total volume, a 57.9% win rate, and activity across 19 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
BlueHorseshoe86 (0x44de2a52d8d2d3ddcf39d58e315a10df53ba9c08) Polymarket trader turned $267K into $538K in pure profit — 101% ROI on deposits, one market at a time, zero complexity.
BlueHorseshoe86 is a ranked whale (top 476) running an 18-trade sample across 17 markets with a clean 50% win rate and $271K total PnL. Medium risk, brutal selectivity. The stats scream precision over volume: 1.2 trades per day, $1.5K average entry, buy-to-sell ratio of 11:1 (holding conviction, not scalping noise).
Strategy is dead simple: find one market, load up big, hold for the move. The edge hack is capital deployment — this trader deploys ~$1.6M total volume through just 18 positions, meaning each trade is a calculated swing, not a gamble. No spread-chasing, no hedging back-and-forth. The data shows BlueHorseshoe86 Polymarket trader identified one killer edge: geopolitical outcomes and binary political shifts where retail panics first and liquidity spreads fat.
The proof lives in the numbers. Best trade hit $192K PnL on Maduro out by...? — that's a single position generating 70% of current portfolio value. Worst trade bled only $10.6K, showing tight stops or lucky exits. The Polymarket wallet analytics reveal a 11:1 buy-to-sell ratio, meaning BlueHorseshoe86 enters conviction, exits clean. 15 closed positions, 3 live, no portfolio clogging.
What separates this Polymarket whale from the leaderboard noise: discipline in market selection. Opened 17 different markets across 18 trades — zero sign of FOMO chasing. Started with $267K deposits, withdrew $399K (net negative $131K in balance), suggesting early believer who took profits and walked. The current $139K portfolio value shows active redeployment, not buy-and-hold bloat. This is a prediction market analytics profile that validates: winners exit when targets hit.
Right now BlueHorseshoe86 runs 3 open positions in markets where the edge still looks live. The risk caveat: 50% win rate sounds even until you realize 18 trades is a noisy sample. The Maduro swing was probably the signal trade; the rest might not repeat. Check the wallet on Predicts.guru to see if conviction positions are still stacking or if this Polymarket trader already knows the edge expired.
whaleRisk: medium