wedy
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wedy is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$54 PnL, $18.0K total volume, a 54.3% win rate, and activity across 126 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
WEDY Polymarket Trader: The Noise Farmer Getting Crushed By Scale
0x43206d022ad02239653f6f7f8d1424fb03444a44 is running one of the most frenetic prediction market strategies on Polymarket — 17 trades per day across 126 different markets, yet somehow still down 53 bucks on 307 in deposits. This Polymarket trader tests the hard truth: high activity doesn't equal edge.
Wedy is a diversified noise collector. 123 total trades, 54.3% win rate (better than coin flip, barely), but the math breaks immediately. ROI sits at minus 24.2 percent. The strategy appears to be volume grinding — cast the net wide, hit 126 markets, hope micro-edges compound. Instead, fees, slippage, and the brutal math of tiny average trade size (4.6 bucks) turns what looks like a slight edge into a slow bleed. Best single win was 19.95 dollars on Highest temperature in Madrid on May 1? (2026-05-01). Worst loss hit minus 50.79, nearly three times bigger. That asymmetry kills.
The real edge hack here doesn't exist — and that's the lesson. 28 open positions floating right now, portfolio value down to 37.43 dollars. This Polymarket whale is actually a retail grinding bot that found no actual prediction market alpha. The buy-sell ratio of 1.84 shows conviction on the buy side, but conviction built on what? No category specialization. No risk discipline (max win 20 bucks, max loss $53.8). No moat. Just raw activity masking a losing system.
Polymarket wallet analytics reveal the brutal pattern: $307 in total deposits, $195 withdrawn (trying to salvage cash), net down 111 on transfers. The trader is staying in, likely because sunk cost bias and the next trade feels like it'll turn it around. Eighteen markets traded daily means no meaningful thesis per position — this is prediction market roulette with extra steps. Risk level tagged "low" but that's purely because position sizes stay tiny. The real risk is time: 17 daily trades on zero edge is just expensive wheel-spinning.
Right now wedy holds 28 open positions with zero portfolio buffer. One bad streak and it's liquidation time. The edge here isn't a strategy; it's a warning. Check Predicts.guru's Polymarket leaderboard and wallet checker — you'll spot dozens of traders with this exact profile, different wallet address, same -20 to -30 percent ROI trajectory.
diversifiedRisk: low