0x4268978B9F58cf6E916d9878aA990cC515B70169-1771941465698
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0x4268978B9F58cf6E916d9878aA990cC515B70169-1771941465698 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$108.1K PnL, $693.9K total volume, a 66.7% win rate, and activity across 16 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
HOOK
0x4268978B9F58cf6E916d9878aA990cC515B70169 Polymarket trader burned $144K in eight trades flat — zero wins, negative everything, still holding seven open positions like they're coming back.
IDENTITY
Rank 2.2 million. Diversified on paper, concentrated in pain. Eight markets touched, eight bleed events. This is what happens when you treat Polymarket like a slot machine and hope variance corrects itself. Zero win rate. Negative 55.96% ROI on $299K deployed.
STRATEGY
They're not following a strategy — they're following hope. Dropped $299K across eight positions with zero edge framework, zero position sizing discipline. Average trade size $8.3K per position. The wallet shows a classic pattern: buy at market, watch the candle flip red, hold and pray. The only trade data visible shows Which crypto company will ZachXBT expose for insider trading both as best and worst trade at minus $299 — same position, same loss, same regret.
PROOF
Portfolio currently holds $132K, down from $299K deposits. That's $167K evaporated. Seven open positions bleeding simultaneously while one closed position hit max single loss of $299. Total volume $693.9K across eight markets. This isn't Polymarket trader alpha — this is evidence of retail confusion meeting prediction markets. The buy-sell ratio of 5 suggests they're buying, not trimming. They're not rebalancing, they're accumulating losses.
EDGE
There is none. This wallet represents the inverse of edge — pure exposure to their own poor thesis selection. No category focus, no win rate defense, no exit discipline. They're diversified across eight markets not because they have deep views, but because they're searching for the one that doesn't crater. Polymarket leaderboard shows this rank speaks volumes: you can't grind this low unless you're fighting the markets instead of reading them.
NOW
Still holding seven positions. Portfolio value $132K, down 56%. Not everyone survives the drawdown. The real question: do they understand why, or do they double down thinking the next market breaks different?
conservativeRisk: low