0x417d...d177
Loading wallet statistics…
0x417d...d177 is a Polymarket wallet profile with N/A PnL, N/A total volume, a 50.0% win rate, and activity across 53 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One wallet with a borderline supernatural 78 trades per day, a 50% win rate, and somehow still sitting on a positive portfolio — meet the trader running the sunniest edge in prediction markets.
0x417d3ab065a0b6fcf2c3b19b5f7fe6c611bfd177 Polymarket trader is an anonymous, diversified micro-degen who treats weather markets like a day job. 53 markets traded, 21 total positions closed, a buy/sell ratio of 8.1 (almost never selling), and an average trade size barely above $1 — this is not a whale. This is a bot-like operator farming noise on high-frequency, low-cap weather events.
Strategy: Pure niche arbitrage on micro-weather forecasts. The "edge hack" is brutal in its simplicity: buy Yes at the lowest possible price before NOAA updates, hold through minor model shifts, and exit once the market reprices. No alpha, just latency and discipline.
Proof: Best trade was on Highest temperature in Seattle on May 7? (2026-05-07), netting +$3.19. Worst trade was on Highest temperature in Austin on May 9? (2026-05-09), losing -$1.75. A 1.8x risk/reward ratio on 50% win rate means you're bleeding small losses to scrape consistent micro-wins — and it's working.
Edge: The 78 trades/day cadence is what separates them from 99% of degens who chase headlines. This is a temperature-checking script running on weather API feeds, not gut feelings. They don't need to be right 70% of the time — they just need to exit faster than the models flip.
Now: 4 open positions, all weather micro-markets, all tiny and hedged organically. Portfolio sits at $12.53 — looks like free money until you try to scale. Realism check: 50% win rate on $1 bets is a grind, not a gold mine.
Track this weather-bot wallet live with a Polymarket wallet checker like Predicts.guru — or find 78 other grinders playing the same edge.
diversifiedRisk: medium