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Toncar16 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $78.6K PnL, $2.9M total volume, a 58.9% win rate, and activity across 1436 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Toncar16 Polymarket trader turned $339 into $72K in pure profit — 8,815% ROI on a wallet that looks like a throwaway until you check the ledger.
Toncar16 is rank #1789 on Polymarket leaderboards, a whale-class Polymarket wallet checker favorite running one of the cleanest risk profiles in prediction market analytics. $72,247 total PnL across 1,592 trades. 59% win rate. Trades 13.7 markets per day across 1,363 different markets. This is not luck. This is pattern recognition scaled.
The edge hack: buy-sell ratio of 1.97 tells the story. Toncar16 shorts volatility more than he chases it. Most Polymarket traders go long hype, panic out. He enters deeper, lets noise settle, exits when the crowd panics. One best trade paid $2,817 on Venezuela political uncertainty—he read the probabilities while cable news screamed. The inverse play on Iran military action cost him $2,256 max loss, but that's the tax on staying in the game. Low-risk designation means position sizing stays disciplined even when conviction peaks.
Volume reveals patience: $2.54M traded, but average entry at 0.71 odds. He's not buying 0.05 lottery tickets. He's hunting mispriced 60-70% probability calls that retail ignores because they're "boring." The math: 13.7 trades daily on a wallet that started with $339 doesn't happen without automation or unhinged discipline. Likely both. 1,576 closed positions suggest he exits cleanly—no zombie bags.
What separates Toncar16 from 99% Polymarket whales: he doesn't fade headlines, he fades panic. Check Polymarket wallet analytics and you'll see his positions cluster in geopolitical and policy markets where consensus breaks fastest. The best trade hit during Venezuela's political crisis uncertainty when probabilities swung 30+ points. He was positioned for the move before Twitter noticed it existed. This is prediction market strategy distilled: position for volatility, let the market reprrice, harvest the spread.
Current state: 16 open positions, $1,638 portfolio value, which means he's either accumulating on a drawdown or trimming winners. Net withdrawals of $28,270 suggest real-world exit wins—this isn't paper profit theater. The risk here is that high-frequency pattern recognition works until consensus shifts. Toncar16 hasn't hit a market crash where correlation kills edge.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru or similar Polymarket leaderboard tools to watch how prediction market analysts operate at scale.
whaleRisk: low