EF203F2IPFC2ICP20W-CP3
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EF203F2IPFC2ICP20W-CP3 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$43.7K PnL, $227.3M total volume, a 100.0% win rate, and activity across 18949 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
EF203F2IPFC2ICP20W-CP3 Polymarket trader just hit -$43.7k on $2.74M deployed—the kind of cautionary tale that teaches you why bots need guardrails.
This is a crypto bot operation running brutal high-frequency scalp logic across 18,949 markets. Rank 2.65M. The wallet screams automation: 35,494 trades in what looks like months, averaging 667 swings per day. Win rate sits at 52.2%—barely above coinflip territory. Total volume of $226.8M moved with an average trade size just $217, which is textbook noise farming.
The edge hack here was supposed to be volume arbitrage and market inefficiency capture. Hit a max win of $197.6k on RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF, which looked clean until the worst trade landed—$43.7K loss on Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC. Single loss wiped half the best win. That's the bot problem: no conviction, no sizing discipline, just spinning the wheel at scale.
What separates this Polymarket whale operation from most degens is pure execution infra—the ability to parse markets, execute micro-positions across thousands of pairs, and stay liquid. Problem is, execution without edge is just expensive speed. The -0.64% ROI on total deposits ($2.74M in, only $39k net positive after withdrawals) proves the math doesn't work. Even a 100% win rate dies when you're fighting slippage, fees, and the fact that prediction market efficiency is getting tighter every month.
Current portfolio sits at $21.7k with 8 open positions still active. That's the evolution trap: can't kill the bot, so you keep feeding it hoping the next 10k trades flip the sign. Drawdowns like this don't usually reverse unless you change the strategy, and changing strategy means admitting the original thesis failed.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru to see how long the bot survives before someone finally pulls the plug.
crypto botRisk: medium