0x410D2faA635fBfEDE53aA4d871863D85a397d831-1773235492914
Loading wallet statistics...
0x410D2faA635fBfEDE53aA4d871863D85a397d831-1773235492914 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$77.2K PnL, $2.8M total volume, a 78.4% win rate, and activity across 317 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Wallet 0x410D2faA635fBfEDE53aA4d871863D85a397d831 pulled 78.4% win rate across 347 Polymarket trades — then somehow buried $77K in losses anyway, the most brutal reminder that prediction market analytics don't care about your batting average.
Meet the Polymarket whale running 17.9 trades per day across 317 different markets, averaging $1,515 per entry. This is high-volume noise farming, not targeted skill. The wallet's ranked 2,522,906 despite solid execution because the math is simple: when you're buying at 0.526 average entry price on everything, even 78% accuracy gets murdered by position sizing. Total volume sits at $2.8M. Started with $53.5K deposited, pulled out $14.1K, and now holds $26.5K in remaining portfolio value. That's a negative -$77.2K PnL reality check — ROI of negative 24%.
The edge hack here is scatter-gun market coverage mixed with extreme buy-side bias (6.4 to 1 buy-sell ratio). Instead of crushing five markets, this wallet touches everything — esports, crypto, politics, whatever moves. Best single trade hit $18.1K on LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2. But worst trade bled $6.3K on LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A. The pattern is obvious: volume masks losing edge. You hit winners big but lose consistent ground on 180 open positions where you're likely underwater.
What separates this from typical Polymarket retail degens is pure execution discipline — 78.4% win rate across prediction market analytics is genuinely rare. But here's the brutal part: discipline on bad positions is just slow death. Medium risk profile listed, yet portfolio erosion suggests position management is where the real leak lives. High-frequency entry doesn't mean high-frequency exit when you should.
Currently holding 180 open positions with $26.5K left. Medium risk isn't medium when you're bleeding $77K on a $53.5K deposit and still stacking bets. This wallet shows what happens when Polymarket whale status meets zero-position-sizing theology.
Track this wallet's live moves on Predicts.guru to see if scatter-gun volume ever turns positive, or use a Polymarket wallet checker to study why high win rate doesn't equal real PnL.
whaleRisk: medium