0x410ae8Af3c17C68fA05BC094fc19cAD0174c5F8d-1773134757562
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0x410ae8Af3c17C68fA05BC094fc19cAD0174c5F8d-1773134757562 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$43 PnL, $1.4K total volume, a 100.0% win rate, and activity across 49 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
Opened the wallet, expected a bot, saw a 100% win rate with a -$43 PNL. The 0x410ae8Af3c17C68fA05BC094fc19cAD0174c5F8d says sniper, but the math screams "how the fuck is this real?"
0x410ae8Af3c17C68fA05BC094fc19cAD0174c5F8d is a Polymarket trader ranked #2,313,291. Sniper type. Medium risk. Trades BTC 5-minute up/down markets almost exclusively. 10 closed positions, 10 wins. Perfect score. And still down 100% on deposits.
The edge hack? He's not betting direction. He's betting volatility. Scans Bitcoin Up or Down 5-minute windows, enters only when price action is compressed, exits fast. Buy-sell ratio of 5.07 means he's stacking Yes shares and dumping into spikes. Best trade: Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET for +$5.65. Worst "loss" was still a +$1.28 win. He never loses a trade — he just loses money.
Here's the trap. Total volume $1.4K, avg trade size $1.67, deposits under $50. He's a sniper with a water pistol. 100% win rate on 10 trades, but fees and slippage eat him alive. Profit on every position, yet -$43 net. That's not a paradox — that's the cost of buying cheap Yes shares and selling into thin order books.
What separates him from 99% of degens? Discipline. He doesn't chase headlines. He farms noise. 49 markets traded, but he only closes winners. No panic exits. No revenge trades. He's the guy who "wins every battle" but is losing the war — a beautiful case study for prediction market analytics on why win rate without position sizing is meaningless.
Right now he's flat. Zero open positions, $48 in deposits, no withdrawals. He either realized the edge was fake or he's reloading. Real talk: 10 straight wins with negative ROI is a dead giveaway that his "edge" is just picking overpriced longshots and eating spreads. Not everyone survives the drawdown — he's living proof.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru to see if the sniper ever learns to scale up.
sniperRisk: medium