alllin
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alllin is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$203 PnL, $1.3M total volume, a 70.6% win rate, and activity across 248 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
alllin (0x402f2758ad7cb23659f3ae5b13e47470fd79842c) Polymarket trader has a 70.6% win rate across 252 trades — then somehow sits at -$203.3 PnL. This is the prediction market version of "I'm good at picking winners, just terrible at sizing."
Meet alllin, rank 2.1M Polymarket whale running a low-risk portfolio across 248 different markets. The defining stat: 70.6% win rate. The brutal truth: -0.02% ROI on $1.3M total volume. This isn't a skill problem. It's a capital management catastrophe.
The strategy is broad-based noise farming. 0.4 trades per day, $1,625 average entry, chasing every political and prediction market that moves. When Presidential Election Winner 2024 hit, alllin banked $130.21 — the max single win. Then Who will be inaugurated as President? clipped -$210.06, wiping that edge straight out. Portfolio value sitting at $742.88. Open positions: 21. The wallet is bleeding slowly, not crashing hard.
What separates alllin from most degens: discipline. 3.26 buy-to-sell ratio means they're not panic-dumping winners. Low risk classification. Consistent daily cadence across 248 markets tracked — this trader did the work to be everywhere. But that's exactly the problem. Polymarket analytics show that top Polymarket traders crush because they go deep on 3-5 categories. alllin is spreading $1,625 bets across 248 different prediction market outcomes like a shotgun approach to edge. High-frequency market noise beats you when you're playing everywhere at once.
The edge hack that should work but doesn't: betting against headlines. When Polymarket whale wallets panic-buy consensus, retail chases headlines, he farms the opposite direction. Except the math isn't forgiving — you need size or precision on maybe 10 bets, not 252. One bad -$210 position wipes weeks of $2-3 micro-wins.
Right now: 21 open positions, $742.88 portfolio value, buying 3x more than selling. The drawdown risk is real. This wallet shows what happens when a Polymarket trader with solid win-rate fundamentals forgets that prediction market analytics reward concentration, not coverage. Check alllin's wallet on Predicts.guru to see if the next 50 trades finally justify the 70% hit rate.
whaleRisk: low