Loading wallet statistics...
Trader Overview
Nameren (0x3fa5abfebfe47c5c82ce9c2daab5879e574f4f56) is a Polymarket trader who turned $7.2K into $17.6K in pure PnL while hitting 82.5% win rate across 128 trades—then immediately proved why high win rates don't equal safety by bleeding $1.2K on a single Bayern matchup.
Rank #8861. Diversified degen. Trades everything: sports, politics, crypto, event noise. Averages 5 trades per day on $403 position sizes. The type who opened up on 126 different markets instead of mastering one.
The edge hack is simple: he's hunting small edges everywhere, fast. 152 buys vs sells means he's picking sides constantly, scaling in-out, treating Polymarket like a volume game. Best trade netted $2,025 on the Pistons vs. Hornets (2026-02-10). Solid cash. But look closer: his worst loss is $1.2K on PSV vs. FC Bayern München—60% of his max win gone in one position. That's the real story.
Here's the risk angle most Polymarket profiles hide: 82.5% win rate sounds unbeatable until you zoom out. Nameren's ROI is 39.32% on deposits. Solid, not legendary. He still has 48 open positions bleeding time and counterparty risk. His portfolio sits at $6K while he's drawn $4K out—classic "prove it by withdrawing" move, which he did. Smart. But those 48 open positions? They're not all winners. Diversification across 126 markets looks smart until one event moves wrong and your whole "low-correlation edge" thesis collapses in hours.
Win rate ≠ survival rate on Polymarket. Nameren knows this—he's medium risk, disciplined deposit sizing, consistent 5-trade-per-day cadence. But the $1.2K loss proves he bleeds real money when he's wrong. Average entry price of 0.587 means he's buying dips, selling rallies, grinding for 1-2% per trade. That works until liquidity evaporates or you bet on the wrong UEFA match. Currently holding 48 open positions—some are profits waiting to crystalize, others are patience tests that could crater. The question no profile answers: which ones?
diversifiedRisk: medium