0x3DFb153c197D4C19D3B31c1ecD2c7B6860eeabAf-1722957908185
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0x3DFb153c197D4C19D3B31c1ecD2c7B6860eeabAf-1722957908185 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $149.3K PnL, $8.1M total volume, a 16.3% win rate, and activity across 196 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet that turned $118K into $703K withdrawn — and still has $375K sitting — in under two years, ranks #501, and somehow kept a 16.3% win rate across 150 trades on prediction markets. Meet 0x3DFb153c197D4C19D3B31c1ecD2c7B6860eeabAf, the contrarian Polymarket trader who farms "obvious" losses others avoid.
This is a "whale" category player ranked #501 on Polymarket, but the stats scream disciplined scalper: 16.3% win rate, $306K total PnL, 810.7% ROI on deposits. The edge hack? He's a liquidity-firehose buyer — buy/sell ratio of 3.9, average entry at $0.53 — buying into the "wrong" side of binary markets when the crowd overprices one outcome, then holding through noise. His best trade: UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev netted $212K. His worst? A Dem nomination bet for NYC Mayor lost just $12.9K — small compared to the upside.
What separates him from 99% of degens is volume discipline. He's traded 148 unique markets (only 150 total trades, so almost every market is a single bet), averaged $10.6K per trade, and only closes 30% of positions early. He's not chasing headlines; he's picking spots where the crowd is wrong about probability. Data-first, gut-zero.
Currently holds 9 open positions with $375K portfolio value — that's a lot of exposure. He's already pulled out $703K, so the house money is long gone. But if those open positions turn, he could hit a 50% drawdown fast. Not everyone survives that.
Track this polymarket whale wallet on Predicts.guru to see if his "buy the overpriced underdog" math holds, or check other UFC title fights traders before the next card.
whaleRisk: medium