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Trader Overview
edenmoon (0x3d1ecf16942939b3603c2539a406514a40b504d0) Polymarket trader turned 3.5M deposit into 1.74M profit in 21 trades — that 50% ROI isn't luck, it's a 76% win rate on pure signal over noise.
Rank 53 whale. edenmoon operates like a sniper, not a machine gun. Twenty markets touched, only 21 total trades across them. That's 0.1 trades per day — he's dormant 90% of the time, then fires when conviction hits. The profile screams selective contrarianism: average entry at 0.76, meaning he's buying dips when retail sells. Most Polymarket whales chase volume. edenmoon chases asymmetry.
The edge is surgical position sizing mixed with event-timing discipline. He deployed $93K per trade on average but controlled risk ruthlessly — max loss sits at just under $98K against a max single win of $995K. That's a 10:1 payoff structure. His best trade? Presidential Election Winner 2024. Nearly a million dollars profit on one conviction bet. Most prediction market traders pray for that outcome once a year. He captured it while holding 18 other closed positions above breakeven.
The risk level reads low, and the data backs it. Win rate of 76.47% on a Polymarket leaderboard full of 40-50% grinders means this isn't variance — it's structural. He's identifying mispriced tail events before the crowd reprices. Check his Polymarket wallet analytics and you'll notice something: the buy-sell ratio is 37, meaning he's accumulating on dips, not panic-selling into drops. That's patience most degens can't afford.
Three open positions remain, portfolio value at 73K. He's pulled more out than he's put in (1.67M net withdrawn against 3.48M deposited), which signals discipline. That's the killer tell — winners take profits. The worst trade (Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson loss) only dented him 97K because position size never blew up. Most Polymarket whales die on one hand. edenmoon sized for survival.
Watch this wallet on Predicts.guru or check other top Polymarket traders to see how selective conviction actually compounds across months.
whaleRisk: low