0x3ca9...bbcd
Loading wallet statistics…
0x3ca9...bbcd is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$4.5K PnL, $140.1K total volume, a 52.0% win rate, and activity across 174 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One anonymous wallet with 60+ markets traded and the setup looks clean — until you check the PnL. This data-driven trader sits at rank 2,723,283 with a -43% ROI on deposits, a cautionary tale that even 52% win rate doesn't guarantee a winner.
This is the_evolution, a diversified Polymarket trader with a medium risk profile who's run through $43.6K in total volume across 174 markets. They average 2.2 trades a day with a heavy buy bias (3:1 buy/sell ratio), suggesting a directional price-taking approach rather than arbing or hedging.
Their strategy leans on high-frequency positioning across sports and events, but the edge hasn't clicked: 27 trades total, 52% win rate — yet negative PnL. That's the death by a thousand cuts. One killer win on UEFA Europa Conference League: Winner (2026-05-21) for +$534 got erased by a $4.5K loss on Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers - More Markets (2026-05-17).
The real edge here? The discipline to keep depositing ($6K+ top-ups) and the math behind that buy bias — but the mechanics need work. Losing money with a 52% win rate means the losing trades are oversized relative to the winners.
Currently holding 0 open positions with a portfolio worth $262. They've withdrawn $3,157, so there's some capital management — but at -43% ROI on deposits, this is a warning more than a whale play. You can run Polymarket wallet analytics on any trader at Predicts.guru to see if their edge survives the drawdown or if the strategy needs a reset.
diversifiedRisk: medium