PEIPING
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PEIPING is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$3.9K PnL, $77.6K total volume, a 66.4% win rate, and activity across 834 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
PEIPING (0x3c15ae399bf6023b5fde875ca8b77eeec5d890d5) Polymarket trader deposited $2,715, withdrew over $1,800, and somehow still sits on a -$3.9K PnL — that’s the kind of math that makes you wonder if the house always wins or if this guy just gambled his edge away on weather bets.
PEIPING is ranked #2,744,406 on Polymarket, a diversified trader with 858 total trades across 834 markets. His “strategy” is volume-based grind: betting on temperature outcomes across Taipei, Seoul, and the Pacific — the edge is simple, playing the highest-frequency weather noise with a 2.6:1 buy-to-sell ratio. Sounds like alpha until you see the numbers.
Proof: He closed 858 positions with a 66.4% win rate, but the PnL is negative. His best trade was on Highest temperature in Taipei on April 12? (2026-04-12) for $101.74 — a tiny win compared to his worst: losing $388 on Highest temperature in Seoul on May 23? (2026-05-23). A single bad weather call wiped out four good ones. That’s the edge — or lack of it.
What separates PEIPING from 99% of degens isn’t skill; it’s discipline. He deposits small, grinds 3.5 trades per day, and keeps the buy-sell ratio absurdly high. But here’s the skepticism: 66.4% win rate with negative PnL means his losses are fat-tailed. He wins small, loses big — a classic trap.
Right now, 858 positions are open, portfolio value $180.58, net transfers almost zero after withdrawals. Realism: this looks like a slow bleed disguised as volume-based weather farming. You can check Polymarket wallet analytics on Predicts.guru to see if he ever flips the script.
diversifiedRisk: medium