mapleghost
Loading wallet statistics...
mapleghost is a Polymarket wallet profile with $101.9K PnL, $17.2M total volume, a 54.8% win rate, and activity across 17044 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
mapleghost (0x39636344f4906695016c13a78a8cd4ea705b2b0b) Polymarket trader ran 887 trades across 17,044 markets and somehow clawed out $101.9K PnL on a 0.59% ROI — which is the most brutally honest Polymarket wallet you'll see all month.
Rank 1170. Medium risk. Pure volume play masquerading as edge. This Polymarket whale trades everything — literally every category across 17k+ markets with zero specialization. The strategy is noise collection: throw $23.68 average tickets at 887 different positions and let variance do the heavy lifting. Entry price hovers at 0.51, meaning mapleghost buys dips and swings. Buy-sell ratio sits at 2500, suggesting serious two-way churn.
Here's where the risk angle hits hard. On the Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET, mapleghost netted $798.98 — clean scalp on 5-minute Bitcoin volatility. Next trade 35 minutes later on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET, dumped $691.13. Win-loss swung within an hour. That's the edge: speed and willingness to take L's fast.
The deeper edge? 54.8% win rate across 887 trades means mapleghost wins slightly more than 1 in 2. On prediction market analytics, that margin is razor-thin — you need perfect discipline to not bleed on spread. Current portfolio sits at $1,787.56 with 437 open positions. Portfolio value relative to total PnL tells the real story: this isn't scalability, it's survival.
Risk caveat hits different here. ROI of 0.59% on $17.2M volume means every percent of slippage or one bad drawdown eats weeks of edge. The max single loss of $691 is contained, but running 437 open positions simultaneously across 17,044 markets means concentration risk is diffused into irrelevance — you win tiny on high-volume, lose tiny, and hope variance bends your way. One systematic edge failure and the math inverts fast.
Currently running net 437 open positions. Active Polymarket whale but honestly this looks like the grind that keeps you flat long-term. Check the wallet on Predicts.guru to watch if mapleghost pivots to fewer, deeper markets or keeps farming noise.
whaleRisk: medium