0x391A4001993E0Ede890439580e159cD751D59d8f-1775464306930
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0x391A4001993E0Ede890439580e159cD751D59d8f-1775464306930 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $268 PnL, $6.8K total volume, a 45.6% win rate, and activity across 62 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
HOOK
0x391A4001993E0Ede890439580e159cD751D59d8f Polymarket trader turned London weather farmer — $267.8 profit on 69 trades in pure chaos markets, but the math screams risk: 45.6% win rate grinding 4 trades daily on climate prediction noise.
IDENTITY
Rank #132,668 diversified small-volume grinder. Hit 62 markets across 69 total trades. Medium risk tolerance. Trader type: noise collector chasing $11.96 avg bet sizes into weather, climate and micro-event prediction pools where retail bleeds out first.
STRATEGY
This is the textbook "death by a thousand cuts" approach — high-frequency micro-betting across temperature predictions and niche binary markets nobody else tracks. Buy at 0.476 entry average, chase 4 trades per day, win sometimes, lose sometimes. Edge hack: volume insulation. Low per-trade size means no slippage, but it also means slow bleed meets slow gains.
PROOF
$267.805 total PnL on $6.8K total volume sits at 3.92% ROI — technically green but mathematically grueling. Best single trade pulled $100.43 on a London temperature prediction. Worst trade dipped -$15.21. Win rate bounces at 45.6% across 64 closed positions. That's basically a coin flip with worse odds. Portfolio sitting at $132.20 in live positions, 5 open trades still sweating.
EDGE
The edge here isn't really there — it's the lack of drawdown narrative. Medium risk discipline keeps losses small. No $10K+ yolo, no panic cascade. But that's also the trap: grinding weather markets at 4 bets daily means you're fighting Polymarket's widest spreads and slowest liquidity pools. Consistency looks like discipline until you realize it's just survival. Temperature predictions are signal-free zones; he's farming noise and getting paid in basis points.
NOW
Currently holding 5 open positions across 62 total markets tracked. Daily 4-trade cadence ongoing. Portfolio value $132.20 against $267 lifetime PnL — he's still in the game but not scaling. This works until macro volatility hits or he chases one bad losing streak into oversized bets. Medium risk is sustainable until it isn't.
Track this wallet via Polymarket wallet checker tools or check performance directly on Predicts.guru to watch how long the grind sustains against market inefficiency.
diversifiedRisk: medium