0x383d49468784965cfd51dd79b39d46ef966387ea
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0x383d49468784965cfd51dd79b39d46ef966387ea is a Polymarket wallet profile with $479 PnL, $296.9K total volume, a 72.4% win rate, and activity across 3830 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
0x383d49468784965cfd51dd79b39d46ef966387ea Polymarket trader turned 363 bucks into nearly 2.1K in pure prediction market PnL — not through one lucky swing, but 4,440 trades across 3,830 markets with a 72.4% win rate that barely wavers.
Meet the definition of evolved prediction market operator. Rank sits at 103,480 but the metrics tell a completely different story. This is diversified trader DNA: 86.9 trades per day, average position size under $10, markets touched that span sports, politics, crypto, and everything between. The wallet shows someone who learned the hard way that volume beats conviction in a noise-soaked market.
The edge is brutally simple: treat Polymarket like a statistical game, not a prediction game. Entry price hovers around 0.58 — dead center of the probability curve. Buy low-probability noise, sell high-probability hype, repeat until you've touched basically every market on the platform. Best single trade pulled $438 on The Masters 2026: Winner. Worst trade ate $189 on a hockey game nobody remembers. That asymmetry compounds when you're running 87 bets daily across thousands of different outcomes.
ROI sits at 131% on total deposits. Translation: turned $2,994 in initial capital into $479 net PnL while managing $296.9K total volume. The portfolio's currently holding 1,429 open positions — this is not a passive holder, this is someone refreshing odds every hour, scalping 2-3% edges, and trusting the law of large numbers to smooth out the variance. Win rate of 72% looks nuts until you realize average entry at 0.58 means they're fighting the math constantly — you need a 72% clip just to break even at those odds.
Risk level is medium because the drawdown math works: max single loss hit $189 against a 72% baseline. The wallet pulled out $4.7K while depositing $3K, meaning this trader is actually cashing out wins, not recycling them like degens. That's the evolution right there — knowing when to take the money off the table.
Currently sitting on 2.1K USDC with 1,429 open positions screaming into the void. This setup works until liquidity dries up or markets correlate hard — then the 72.4% win rate doesn't matter because you can't exit clean. Check this wallet on Predicts.guru to see if the volume grind still edges out by month's end.
diversifiedRisk: medium