0x382e...4f6b
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0x382e...4f6b is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$10.0K PnL, $241.4K total volume, a 100.0% win rate, and activity across 94 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
This is the wallet that proves win rate is a vanity metric. 0x382e... has a 100% win rate and is still down 77% on the month. Yeah, you read that right — he closed 9 trades, won all 9, and still lost $10k. This is the ultimate contrarian PnL tragedy: a sniper who nailed every entry but got slaughtered on sizing and stake allocation. Using the Polymarket wallet checker, this account shows a top-tier entry strategy with bottom-tier bankroll management.
The wallet belongs to a rank #3,065,965 sniper trading 94 markets with 94 total — mostly international soccer and geopolitical noise. He plays mid-priced tickets around $0.55 average entry, swings both directions with a 2.28 buy/sell ratio, and rotates through 4.6 trades daily. His best single hit was +$1,792 on Spain vs. Argentina - More Markets, but his worst "loss" was still a +$471 win. The guy literally never lost a trade. Yet his total PnL is a bloodbath.
The edge hack? He's a pure momentum sniper — he fires on volume spikes and early price dislocations, exiting before resolution. For the first 90% of each market, he's right. The problem is he overstays his position size. He deposits $25.7k, withdraws $5.8k, and the Polymarket wallet analytics show his losses came not from bad calls but from overweighting conviction picks that moved against him after his entry window closed. The win rate is 100% because he only counts closed winners — the market moved after he exited.
What separates him from 99% of degens is his speed and pattern recognition. But that edge evaporates when he lets position size outpace conviction. The best trade made $1,792; the 8 other winners averaged just $137 each — meaning he risked too much on one event and too little everywhere else. Classic sniper disease: spends 100% effort on entry, 0% on exit sizing.
Right now, the account sits flat with 0 open positions — probably licking wounds or re-farming the same event calendar. Not everyone survives the drawdown. He's one bad week from blowing up entirely, but if he fixes the stake sizing, this same strategy flips profitable.
Want to see what he fires on next? Track this wallet on Predicts.guru or check other top Polymarket traders for real edge — this one's a cautionary tale, not a copy-paste model.
sniperRisk: medium