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jyrhege is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$144 PnL, $15.1K total volume, a 17.1% win rate, and activity across 43 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
jyrhege is a Polymarket trader getting humbled by the market in real time — $141 down on $10,900 total volume, 31% win rate, rank 2,302,125, and still showing up to play 31 trades across 34 different markets like a kid convinced he's found the cheat code.
The identity: diversified dabbler. Medium risk tolerance. Trades sports mostly (best win was Nuggets vs. Heat (2025-01-18), worst was Capitals vs. Senators (2025-01-17)), spreads bets thin across dozens of prediction markets instead of narrowing focus. Average trade size $97. Nine open positions sitting in the portfolio right now worth $619 total.
Here's the edge hack: there isn't one yet. jyrhege buys at 0.62 average entry price and sells across the board — 1.95 buy-to-sell ratio suggests heavy accumulation bias, holding losers hoping for rebounds. That's not strategy, that's prayer. The Polymarket wallet analytics show a trader still learning what actually separates winners from the noise. Check the Polymarket wallet tracker and you see volume spread so wide (34 markets, 0.1 trades per day) that no single edge compounds.
The proof is brutal. Hit $107 on Nuggets vs. Heat (2025-01-18), got immediately slapped with a $110 loss on the very next day. That's not a drawdown — that's oscillation between "lucky" and "unlucky" with zero consistency. Negative ROI at -1.3% despite the occasional flash. The win rate of 31% is basically coin flip with a slight lean toward heads, then tails shows up anyway.
What separates jyrhege from actual Polymarket whales isn't discipline or math — it's that winners narrow their thesis hard. They pick three markets, own them completely, and become unfairly good. jyrhege is a Polymarket trader trying to be good at everything and ending up nowhere. The bot traders on prediction market analytics leaderboards would eat this raw.
Current status: nine open positions, $619 in portfolio value, still trading on feelings rather than edge. Not everyone survives the drawdown. If you want to see how fast a Polymarket PnL curve can flatten, track this wallet on Predicts.guru or any Polymarket leaderboard tracker and watch what happens when 31% win rate meets reality.
diversifiedRisk: medium