0x36257cb65f199caa86f7d30625bbc1250a981187
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0x36257cb65f199caa86f7d30625bbc1250a981187 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$96.3K PnL, $11.7M total volume, a 95.6% win rate, and activity across 298 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
0x36257cb65f199caa86f7d30625bbc1250a981187 Polymarket trader just pulled $347K on a single Warriors-Suns bet while sitting -23% ROI overall — elite execution meets brutal math.
Rank #472 whale. 208 total trades across 208 different markets. 95.6% win rate. Looks like a sniper until you do the math: $1M deposited, -$96.3K PnL sounds clean until you realize he's down 23% on capital despite nearly perfect trade selection. This is what happens when position sizing eats your alpha.
The edge is obvious on paper. 95.6% win rate Polymarket trader doesn't exist by accident. He's picking good spots — averaging 8.1 trades per day across discrete markets, buying at 0.51 entry price on average, letting winning positions compound. The Warriors vs. Suns (2026-04-18) single trade netted $347K. That's the kind of monster win that gets reshared. Problem is the worst trade lost basically nothing (down $1.69), which means he's taking micro-losses on noise and mega-wins on conviction. Volume ratio of 43:1 buy-to-sell shows he's holding, not scaling, not exiting discipline.
Here's where it breaks. Portfolio shows $757K current value against $992K net deposits. He's underwater despite a 95.6% win rate. Open positions: 132. Closed: only 76. This wallet is a prisoner of its own conviction — heavy in open bets, light on profit-taking. Predicts.guru Polymarket wallet analytics show he trades every single market category (298 markets, 208 trades), which isn't diversification, it's spray. The -23% ROI on deposits explains why rank sits at #472 despite elite win rate. You can pick winners all day and still bleed if you're sizing wrong or holding through volatility.
Risk level: medium on paper, but portfolio concentration tells another story. 186 open positions means capital is scattered across everything. One sequence of losses — even with 96% accuracy — and he'd need the next $347K winner to break even. Drawdowns aren't visible in raw win rate.
Currently holding $757K across 132 open markets. Not everyone survives the math between "I pick right" and "I profit." Check this wallet on Predicts.guru to see how top Polymarket traders manage capital versus just picking winners.
whaleRisk: medium