0x361b...74fe
Loading wallet statistics...
0x361b...74fe is a Polymarket wallet profile with $2.0M PnL, $17.2M total volume, a 45.9% win rate, and activity across 689 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
You open this wallet, see 45.9% win rate, and think it's a bot that never loses — then you check the PnL and realize it's down 88% on deposits. The 0x361b16e3ddfe1d415d41008daac2631d94ab74fe Polymarket trader is ranked #1,129 but has been absolutely nuked by position size variance.
Identity: Anonymous bot operator running what looks like a high-frequency market making strategy on Polymarket. 689 markets traded, 34 total positions closed, massive 2,500 buy-sell ratio.
Strategy: Pure taker-on-the-other-side. This bot is flooding limit orders into the smallest spreads, collecting the 0.1-0.5% edge on every fill. 368 trades per day average — that's a script sitting on 3 open positions, constantly rotating inventory to capture micro-arb opportunities between order books of related markets.
Proof: The numbers don't lie — $1.62M in total PnL on $17.2M total volume, but here's the sick part: that $2M profit is completely eaten by position sizing disaster. The best single trade made $84.3K on Netherlands vs. Japan - More Markets (2026-06-14) while the worst loss hit $32.7K on England vs. Ghana - More Markets (2026-06-23). That's a 2.5x win-loss ratio on trade size, yet the bot still bleeds because one wrong direction at scale vaporizes weeks of noise collection.
Edge: Speed + discipline. The bot doesn't care about prediction accuracy — it's exploiting time decay and spread compression between event market pairs. Problem is the risk management is cooked. 53 positions open means massive correlation exposure; one tournament upset cascades across the whole portfolio.
Now: Sits at $405K portfolio value against $3.6M in total deposits. That "45.9% win rate" is a mirage — it's still underwater by 88% because the bot hasn't closed enough losing positions to reflect reality. Either the strategy fundamentally doesn't scale, or the operator is hunting one big directional banger to flip the script.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru to see if the bot operator finally realizes that 45.9% win rate with 88% drawdown is just math denial.
crypto botRisk: medium