Loading wallet statistics...
shamu4 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $1.0K PnL, $20.0K total volume, a 57.6% win rate, and activity across 178 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
safhwe (0x35aff83368c69c47af04ee2d99330154f22f1ca6) is a Polymarket trader who turned $375 into $810 in pure temperature prediction grind — hitting 46 trades per day across 100 different markets with zero brand recognition and raw edge.
The Profile. Rank 106,387. Wallet shows $435 PnL on a $375 deposit (27.2% ROI, 50% win rate, 52 total trades). This is high-risk diversified play — not a single hero trade, not a narrative whale. safhwe spreads capital thin across weather prediction markets, betting micro positions on hyperspecific temperature outcomes across Asian cities. The math is brutal: 46 trades daily means this isn't human intuition. It's noise collection masquerading as prediction market trading.
The Edge Breakdown. safhwe's real hack: find the gaps in Polymarket's weather vertical where liquidity is thin and pricing is sloppy. Buy 100 different temperature prediction markets at $0.18 avg entry, hold them for 1-2 hours, exit when sentiment shifts. Buy-sell ratio of 1.24 confirms this — slightly long biased but constantly rotating. Avg trade size of $6.20 means losses stay capped. Best win on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 1? pulled $69.40. Worst loss on Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 29? was only -$6.78. Discipline through position sizing.
The Reality Check. 50% win rate means safhwe is barely above break-even on accuracy — the real edge is variance management and liquidity arbitrage. With 46 trades daily, one bad drawdown period could torpedo everything. Current portfolio value sits at $0.016 after 50 closed positions. Net transfers show -$102 (withdrew more than deposited). This looks like someone stress-testing a bot, not a sustainable strategy.
The Now. Two open positions remaining. safhwe's either scaling back or consolidating after a rough run. The Polymarket wallet analytics show no activity spike recently, suggesting a pull-back or maybe system refinement. Track this account on Predicts.guru if you want to see how weather prediction microtrading evolves — high-frequency noise collection stays underrated until it doesn't.
diversifiedRisk: medium